“In the 2000s, US
manufacturing suffered its worst performance in American history in terms of
jobs. The decline as a share of total manufacturing jobs exceeded the rate of
loss in the Great Depression of the 1930s.
Remarkably, most of the establishment economists, pundits,
and elected officials are totally blasé about what has transpired. Meanwhile, millions
of disenfranchised workers are “mad as hell”. Worse they are losing their faith
in the American Dream.
Trump and Sanders have tapped into this frustration as
evidenced by the unprecedented size of the crowds who stand in line for hours
to hear them speak. Both Trump and Sanders offer paths forward which the blasé
establishment immediately pooh poohs as impossible to implement. So, are the
workers to believe that there are no solutions? Of course not, but it is clear
that they want new leadership, and they are not offended by the blunt language of
Trump or by a 74 year old socialist.
There is a glimmer of hope for the American Dream. An
article in the March 2016 issue of “The Atlantic”, entitled “How America is
Putting Itself Back Together” shows that the American spirit still exists and
is functioning even in the areas hardest hit by the greatest manufacturing
decline since the Great Depression.
The author, James Fallows and his wife Deb, traveled the US
from East to West and North to South for three years. Most of what they found
is beneath the traditional radar and out of ear-shot of the blasé
establishment. But quoting from the article: “In nearly every place that we
have gone, America
thinks of itself as having a few distinct islands of technical creativity of
start-ups and reinventions. The authors found that even what one would consider
as hopeless places are reinventing themselves.
One example of new technology they found is the three
dimensional printer. Three dimensional designs are created on the computer and
then the product is manufactured in plastic or metal by printing it in three
dimensionals. This means that one can make the product in one’s garage or small
building instead of requiring a huge factory for mass production of the
product. This concept fits the entrepreneurial
instincts and skills that are so typical of the America
spirit. It also fits the current market where the consumer likes to purchase
something unique that is customized to fit the consumer’s specific need and
lifestyle.
If this reminds you of the cottage industries that existed in
the nineteenth century before they were wiped out by the big production lines
of the Industrial Revolution, you are thinking correctly. We are at the edge of
a paradigm shift that will be enormous. The possibilities for these new
technologies and local application of entrepreneurial opportunities are huge,
and they can play a major role in finding new America
based and well paying jobs for the workers displaced by trade agreements that
favor overseas labor.
This election is vitally important because Government can
play a major role to speed up the response the 90 million workers displaced by
the globalization and digital revolutions are demanding. Everyone knows that our
tax structure needs desperately to be overhauled to encourage entrepreneurial
start ups and small businesses. Also, everyone knows that our high school education
system suitable for the 19th’ and early 20th century businesses is
woefully out of date for the “Smart Phone” business needs of the 21st
century.
Now, bringing jobs back from overseas or creating new ones
is easier said than done! Further it may take a longer time than the
out-of-work workers are willing to provide. So if the establishment hierarchies
of both political parties attempt to thwart the wishes of the working class
electorate, as they are now doing, they do so at their peril, because the
millions of the disgruntled electorate will not wait forever!